Journal of Applied Economic Research
ISSN 2712-7435
Corruption Dynamics in the Post-Crisis World
Ruban D.A.
Abstract
Corruption is typical for all states of the world, but its level differs significantly. In the present work, an attempt is made at spatio-temporal analysis of its changes through the period of 2012–2015 for the entire world and some particular large regions (Europe, Africa, Latin America, South-East Asia). Mean and median values of the corruption index are calculated, and specific indices reflecting the degree of differences in the distribution of corruption by countries between pairs of years are established. These specific indices are based on the correlation coefficient, the Quantified Czekanowski's Coefficient and the Gower Index. The results of the analysis imply that the level of corruption in the world has hardly changed and remained generally high during the past four years. Some positive trends are observed only in Europe. The spatial dynamics was weak. This means that the level of corruption in the states almost did not change relatively to that in the other states. Essentially, this indicates the absence of competition between the countries for a better situation in terms of corruption. Clear tendencies are almost non-existent. Further discussion of the results suggests that the by-country distribution of corruption changed stronger in the cases of its very high and very low levels. The global financial (economic) crisis would facilitate multi-directional tendencies in the change of the corruption level and, consequently, the relatively intense dynamics. However, conclusions made in the present work point to the opposite. This may be explained by an insufficiently deep understanding of the factor of corruption and the fact that some countries with a relatively high level of corruption resisted the crisis successfully because of certain economic or geopolitical causes. Moreover, the administrative discretion that increased in the crisis times might have had its impact, too. Generally, the almost unchanged situation as regards corruption in the world does not allow for making optimistic prognoses about future economic development (also based on innovations), as well as it does not exclude the recurrence of crisis phenomena in the economy.
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Keywords
Key words: state governance; quantitative analysis; corruption; spatial dynamics; economic crisis.
About Authors
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2016.15.2.12
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